Pennsylvania – update through June 2019

This is an older blog post, you will find one on more recent data here

This interactive presentation contains the latest gas (and a little oil) production data, from all 9,023 horizontal wells in Pennsylvania that started producing from 2010 onward, through June.

Natural gas production from these horizontal wells stayed at 18.3 Bcf/d in June. Similar to previous years, almost no growth was seen in the first 6 months of the year. During this period, 314 wells started production, slightly below the count in the same time frame last year (353).

Well productivity has only slightly increased since 2017, as the bottom chart in the “Well quality” overview reveals. They recover just over 4 Bcf of gas in the first 2 years, on average. In Susquehanna County, that metric is about 6 Bcf (change “County” to “Susquehanna”).

The ‘Advanced Insights’ presentation is displayed below:

This “Ultimate Return” overview shows the relationship between gas production rates and cumulative gas production, averaged for all horizontal wells that began production in the same year.

The 827 wells that began production last year are clearly outperforming the 747 wells that started a year earlier, on average. If you switch to a higher granularity (change “Show wells by” to “Quarter of first flow”), you’ll find that especially the wells that started in Q4 2018 had an excellent start. They recovered on average 2.3 Bcf in the first 7 months.

We have now also included water production for Pennsylvania. Click on the last tab (“Water ratio”) to display this. A more advanced, map-based dashboard is available in our analytics service.

I also wanted to share the dashboard below, from the same service, in which we can see the location and age of all 828 DUCs in Pennsylvania. The chart on the right side shows how the well count has evolved over the past years, and the colors indicate in which year these DUCs were spud.

We are getting ever quicker in keeping our data up-to-date. Last Friday, Texas released new production data, through June, and yesterday it was already available in our subscription services. Other states are far easier and quicker to process.

Later this week we will have a new update on the Permian, followed by a post on the Eagle Ford early next week.

Production data is subject to revisions. For this presentation, I used data gathered from the following sources:

• Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection
• FracFocus.org

====BRIEF MANUAL====

The above presentations have many interactive features:

• You can click through the blocks on the top to see the slides.
• Each slide has filters that can be set, e.g. to select individual or groups of operators. You can first click “all” to deselect all items.
• You have to click the “apply” button at the bottom to enforce the changes. After that, click anywhere on the presentation.
• Tooltips are shown by just hovering the mouse over parts of the presentation.
• You can move the map around, and zoom in/out.
• By clicking on the legend you can highlight selected items.
• Note that filters have to be set for each tab separately.
• The operator who currently owns the well is designated by “operator (current)”. The operator who operated a well in a past month is designated by “operator (actual)”. This distinction is useful when the ownership of a well changed over time.
• If you have any questions on how to use the interactivity, or how to analyze specific questions, please don’t hesitate to ask.

Enno Peters

Enno Peters is General Manager at Novi, where he has build an AI-driven data & analytics platform tailored for oil & gas operators and energy investors. Prior to Novi, Enno founded ShaleProfile which was acquired by Novi late 2021.