This is an older blog post, you will find one on more recent data here
This interactive presentation contains the latest oil & gas production data from all 31,497 horizontal wells in the Permian (Texas & New Mexico) that started producing from 2008/2009 onward, through June 2021.
Tight oil production in the Permian rose by 1% to about 4.1 million b/d in June (after revisions, horizontal wells only). Natural gas production held flat at above 16 Bcf/d.
The horizontal rig count in the basin has doubled from the low in August last year to 238 rigs as of last week (according to Baker Hughes). Given that each of these rigs drills about 1.2 horizontal wells a month, on average, the resulting number of wells completed each day is about 10. Our Supply Projection dashboard shows that this level of activity, combined with the latest figures on well productivity, should allow the basin to show modest growth in oil production in the coming years:
Most of the currently projected growth in the Permian will come from the New Mexico side of the basin, which is already setting new production records:
Well productivity growth on the New Mexico side has held up relatively strongly, which is visible in the following overview:
The chart on the right shows the actual and forecasted production profiles for all the horizontal wells in this area, that came online through 2019. Every year, wells have peaked at higher average rates, and are trending towards larger EURs. Most of the productivity growth in the last few years can be explained by longer laterals. This screenshot was taken from our Production Profiles dashboard that includes forecasts.
We will have a new post on the Eagle Ford early next week, followed by a post on Pennsylvania (which just released complete July production data, already available in our services).
Production and completion data are subject to revisions.
Note that a significant portion of production in the Permian comes from vertical wells and/or wells that started production before 2008, which are excluded from these presentations.
For these presentations, I used data gathered from the following sources:
- Texas RRC. Oil production is estimated for individual wells, based on a number of sources, such as lease & pending production data, well completion & inactivity reports, regular well tests, and oil production data.
- OCD in New Mexico. Individual well production data is provided.
The above presentations have many interactive features:
- You can click through the blocks on the top to see the slides.
- Each slide has filters that can be set, e.g. to select individual or groups of operators. You can first click “all” to deselect all items. You have to click the “apply” button at the bottom to enforce the changes. After that, click anywhere on the presentation.
- Tooltips are shown by just hovering the mouse over parts of the presentation.
- You can move the map around, and zoom in/out.
- By clicking on the legend you can highlight selected items.
- Note that filters have to be set for each tab separately.
- The operator who currently owns the well is designated by “operator (current)”. The operator who operated a well in a past month is designated by “operator (actual)”. This distinction is useful when the ownership of a well changed over time.
- If you have any questions on how to use the interactivity, or how to analyze specific questions, please don’t hesitate to ask.
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